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Historic data, back-testing and tooling

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Macro
ForexLive · 18 hours ago

US ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 55.6 versus 54.0 estimate

July ISM Manufacturing PMI expanded to 55.6 from 53.3, the strongest in over four years and above the 54.0 consensus, driven by broad-based gains in production (58.5), new orders (56.7), and employment (52.8 vs. 49.7). The report signals manufacturing momentum is accelerating with rising backlogs and low customer inventories suggesting near-term demand strength, though elevated prices paid (71.1) and supply-chain bottlenecks signal persistent inflationary pressure and potential hawkish implications for Fed policy.

Macro
ZeroHedge · 18 hours ago

Key Events This Week: Jobs, ISMs, Fed Speakers And More Earnings On Deck

This week is data-heavy across macro calendars: the US will release JOLTS, ADP employment, and Friday's crucial July jobs report (consensus +85k nonfarm, +83k private), with risks skewed toward a 4.3% unemployment rate. Fed speakers (Cook, Schmid, Musalem, Barkin) will be closely monitored for rate-path signals following three dissents favoring a hike last week. Globally, investors will watch Swiss/Swedish inflation, German activity data, Chinese PMI and trade figures, and Japanese wage momentum. Concurrent heavy earnings from Palantir, AMD, Disney, Uber, and others.

Crypto
CoinDesk · 3 days ago

How bitcoin cold wallets lost $70 million in an attack that never touched the devices

A firmware vulnerability in Coldcard hardware wallets (Mk2–Mk5 models) allowed attackers to computationally enumerate seed phrases offline by exploiting weak randomness generation tied to device serial numbers and clock values, rather than a dedicated hardware RNG. Over 1,082 BTC (~$70M) were drained from 1,196 wallets in 41 minutes on July 30; the attacker derived private keys entirely on their own hardware and checked them against the public blockchain, never requiring network access to the victims' devices. The exploit is significant because it breaks the core security assumption of cold storage—that an air-gapped device is unreachable—by attacking the generation mechanism itself rather than the device's connectivity.

Crypto
CoinDesk · 4 days ago

Major bitcoin wallet flaw drains $38 million worth of BTC in 25-minute sweep

A randomness generation flaw in Coldcard firmware 4.0.0 (March 2021) caused the wallet to use predictable, non-secret chip data instead of its hardware random number generator when creating seed phrases. An attacker exploited this to derive private keys and sweep approximately 594 BTC (~$38M) from around 500 single-signature wallets in under 30 minutes on Friday. The vulnerability affects Mk3 devices running firmware 4.0.1 or later; Mk4, Q, and Mk5 models appear unaffected. The stolen coins have largely been consolidated into a single address and remain stationary, and Bitcoin's price showed little reaction to the incident.