Risk & Psychology
Risk management, discipline and mindset
50 stories tagged #risk-psychology
Week ahead: Elections, rate decisions and jobs take center stage
Week of Nov 2–6: RBA and BOE rate hikes, US elections, and Friday US/Canada jobs reports anchor trading agenda.
Read storyAustralia trimmed mean CPI rises to 3.7%, above forecasts, as RBA hike case firms
Australia Q3 trimmed mean CPI rises to 3.7% y/y, above 3.6% forecast, firming RBA hike case for Nov 2-3.
Read storyThe Next Fannie Mae Is Made Of GPUs
Private credit financing $800B of AI data-center buildout risks leaving lenders holding stranded GPU collateral as
Read storySell The Bailout: Skydance Tumbles As Musk's $1 Billion Check Reminds Everyone Paramount Needs One
Skydance stock spikes then crashes on Musk's $1B investment, revealing debt crisis the market already priced in.
Read storyCoreWe've Got Bills To Pay: Bernstein Sees $76 Billion Funding Hole At Imploding Neocloud
Goldman upgrades CoreWeave to Buy with $106 PT, but stock falls; Bernstein counters with $76B funding gap vs Goldman's
Read storyFrench Budget Rejections Fuel Debt Crisis Fears As Yield Spread Over Germany Hits 15-Year High
French 10-year yields surge to 5.11% as MPs reject budget measures; OAT-Bund spread hits 174bp, highest since 2011.
Read story"Everyone Has Blown Up": London Macro Traders Carried-Out As French Carry Trade Implodes (Again)
French OAT carry-trade collapse forces ~100 London macro traders out; spreads hit 15-year wides as leveraged positions
Read storySituational Unawareness: Banks Ran Out Of Room To Lever Up The AI Trade, So They Made More
Barclays reallocated internal capital to prime brokerage after hitting lending limits on Asian AI stocks, then
Read storyAre Bonds Pricing In A Fed Policy Mistake?
10-year Treasury yields fall to 5.03% despite hotter CPI and PPI data, signaling bond market concern about Fed policy
Read storyIran Attacks At Least Two More Tankers In Gulf Waters In Past 24 Hours
Iran attacks two tankers in Gulf; US orders embassy evacuations as Hormuz tensions escalate.
Read storyKen Griffin Says AI Is "Almost Certainly" A Bubble As Corporate America Opens Its Anthropic And OpenAI Bills
Ken Griffin calls AI "almost certainly" a bubble as corporate spending fails to yield productivity gains.
Read storyFrench Bond Yields Explode To 24-Year High As Unrest And Fiscal Crisis Collide
French 10-year bond yields hit 24-year high of 5% amid social unrest and fiscal crisis.
Read storyTwo Tankers On Fire Off Oman As IRGC Boasts Of Naval Mine Warfare
Two tankers attacked by Iranian mines in Strait of Hormuz; Brent near $110 as diplomacy signals clash with military
Read storyToo Broken For Frontier: Indonesian Markets Suffer Worst Rout Since 1998 As MSCI Threatens The "Argentina Treatment"
MSCI warns Indonesia faces EM-to-Standalone downgrade for market dysfunction; JCI crashes 11.6% Friday, 3.6% Monday as
Read storyPeople, Power And Politics: Morgan Stanley Maps The Three Ways AI's $1.6 Trillion Capex Plan Can Collapse
Morgan Stanley maps three ways AI's $1.6T capex plan could falter: political pushback on data centers, memory pricing
Read storyOnly a third of the US data centre pipeline looks credible as AI financing strains build
Only a third of US AI data centre pipeline deemed credible as financing strains mount amid delays and local opposition.
Read storyTwo More Tankers Hit Off Saudi Coast As Brent Tops $110
Brent crude tops $110/bbl for first time since May as tanker attacks near Saudi Arabia escalate Middle East tensions.
Read storyQatar's Government Revenue Plunges 42% In First Half As Iran War Knocks Out Gas Exports
Qatar's government revenue plunges 42% in H1 2026 as Iran war shuts Ras Laffan gas complex, slashing LNG exports to 25%
Read storyAnalysis: Why a $2 trillion deficit and 5% Treasury yields are becoming America's biggest economic challenge
Treasury yields above 5% and $2T deficit threaten housing, corporate borrowing, and widen fiscal challenges amid
Read storyIran Hormuz Attack Spree Starts Choking Oil Flows (Again), UBS Warns
Iranian drone attacks surge to 24 this month, forcing crude flows through Hormuz down to 9.1M b/d from 17M peak.
Read storyHock Tan Warns AI Investors Are Gambling In A Casino... Whose Chips His Own Credit Is Paying For
Broadcom CEO warns AI investors are gamblers; SOXX falls 2.6% as financing becomes industry bottleneck.
Read storyIMF warns bond yields could see a 'disorderly' spike as debt, inflation risks worsen
IMF warns sovereign bond yields risk 'disorderly' spike amid record debt, AI borrowing, and hedge-fund leverage.
Read storyAt Least 10 Supertankers Approaching Port Of Fujairah Reverse Course Amid Iran’s Attacks
At least 10 supertankers reverse course toward Fujairah as Iranian attacks escalate near Strait of Hormuz.
Read storyUS Manufacturing Survey Strongest Since May 2022 On AI Spend, Prices Paid Spike
ISM manufacturing survey hits strongest level since May 2022 on AI spending surge, but prices paid spike amid supply
Read storyYields on the 10-year and 30-year Treasurys reach highs not seen since 2002
10-year and 30-year Treasury yields hit highest levels since 2002.
Read story"Zero Hormuz": Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Readies Tens Of Billions To Turn Fujairah Into Hormuz Bypass
Abu Dhabi launches $30B+ "Zero Hormuz" infrastructure push to bypass Strait via Fujairah port expansion.
Read storyEurope Races To Contain Energy Crisis With Patchwork Measures
Brent crude near $100/bbl amid Iran tensions; Europe deploys patchwork price controls as diesel shortages threaten
Read storyFICO Crashes Most Since 2004 As Pulte's Mortgage Score Shakeup Threatens Its Moat
FICO shares crash 22% after FHFA unifies mortgage-pricing grid, enabling VantageScore adoption and eroding FICO's
Read storyRecord Plunge In Real-Estate Job Opening Sends JOLTS Sharply Lower, Hints At Ugly Jobs Report
August JOLTS misses consensus for third straight month; job openings fall to 7.079M, real-estate openings halve to
Read storySept US consumer confidence 81.9 vs 89.2 expected
US consumer confidence plummets to 81.9 in September, missing 89.2 estimate; Expectations Index signals recession risk.
Read story"We Can't Do Any Planning"; Dallas Fed Manufacturers Uniformly Negative
Dallas Fed manufacturing survey shows uniform negative sentiment despite modest headline beat, citing tariffs, fuel
Read storyFed Has Never Hiked In October Ahead Of US Elections: UBS
UBS argues Fed won't hike in October despite 69% market pricing; 10-year yield hits 20-year high amid Iran conflict.
Read storyBessent Begs Fed For Mercy
Treasury yields hit two-decade highs as Strait of Hormuz blockade drives Brent crude toward $110; Bessent urges Fed
Read storyFreddie Mac: Multifamily Delinquency Rate Rises To Multi-Decade High
Freddie Mac multifamily delinquencies hit 20+ year high at 0.64% amid rising rates and rental affordability crisis.
Read storyFutures Slide As Oil Jumps, Bond Selloff Resumes After Trump Spurns Iran Offer
S&P 500 futures down 0.5%, Nasdaq down 0.8% as oil surges on Iran-US stalemate and bond yields hit multi-decade highs.
Read storySaudi Arabia Restarts Critical Hormuz Bypass Pipeline
Saudi Arabia restarts East-West pipeline after drone attack, restoring 7M bbl/day bypass to Red Sea as Hormuz flows
Read story"Moving The Goalposts": BofA Downgrades Nike, Slashes Target As Turnaround Story Delayed
BofA downgrades Nike to Underperform, cuts price target to $30 from $47, pushes turnaround to 2028 amid weak demand and
Read storyGlobal bond selloff rolls on, US 30-year yield at highest since 2004
US 30-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2004 amid global bond selloff.
Read storyBitget says $351.6 million affected in wallet breach, pauses withdrawals
Bitget reports $351.6M affected in wallet breach, halts withdrawals.
Read story10Y Yield Spikes Above 5.00% After Blowout Beats For US PMIs
US PMIs surge to multi-year highs; services and manufacturing accelerate, driving 10Y yield above 5.00%.
Read storyUS September S&P Global flash services PMI 58.7 vs 56.0 expected
US September services PMI 58.7 beats 56.0 forecast; manufacturing 57.0 vs 53.6; five-year highs signal strong growth
Read storyThese Are The Countries Where Bond Yields Are Rising Fastest
Global 10-year yields spike to multi-decade highs; South Korea, Japan lead rises amid inflation and deficits.
Read storyWatch Live: Fed Chair Warsh Explains Why He Hiked Rates Into Stagflation
Fed Chair Warsh hikes rates 25bps despite cooling inflation, raising stagflation concerns ahead of press conference.
Read storyFed raises rates for first time since 2023, sees one more hike this year
Fed raises rates for first time since 2023, signals one additional hike later this year.
Read storyCrude Slides On Report Saudis Could Restore Half Of East-West Pipeline Flows Within Days
WTI slides to $101 after report Saudi Aramco may restore half of East-West pipeline capacity within days.
Read storyWhat If Warsh Shocks The Market And Keeps Rates On Hold
FOMC decision looms: market prices 90% hike odds, but Warsh faces choice between meeting expectations or holding rates
Read storyDiesel Crack Spread Explodes To Record As Russia Weighs Longer Export Ban, US Eyes Its Own
Diesel crack spread hits record $117/bbl as Russia extends export ban and US considers its own restrictions.
Read storyFutures Rise, Oil And Yields Dip Ahead Of First Fed Hike In Three Years
Fed set to raise rates 25bp for first time since 2023; S&P 500 futures +0.3%, yields and oil pull back ahead of
Read storyWhat are the main events for today?
UK CPI in line, BoE steady; FOMC expected 25bp hike with dot plot showing two hikes in 2026, one in 2027.
Read storyXRP sinks 10% as the Clarity Act fails and bitcoin slides toward $76,000
XRP falls 10% as Senate fails Clarity Act vote 49-50, triggering broad crypto sell-off.
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