Risk & Psychology
Risk management, discipline and mindset
50 stories tagged #risk-psychology
10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, hitting its highest level since 2007
10-year Treasury yield breaks above 5% for first time since 2007.
Read storyUS 10-year yields reach 5%, highest since 2023
US 10-year Treasury yield hits 5%, highest level since 2023.
Read story$6 Diesel Flashes 2008 Warning As Energy Shock, AI Slowdown Fears Fuel Perfect Storm
US diesel prices hit $6.23/gallon amid refining crisis; Bloomberg strategist warns of 2008-style shock.
Read storyKey Events This Week: Fed, BOJ And BOE; Also Retail Sales, Import Prices And Bessent
Fed, BoE, BoJ meet this week; 87% market pricing on 25bp US hike Wednesday; retail sales, CPI, and industrial
Read storyHouthis Unleash Major Missile Barrage On Saudi Arabia's Sprawling King Khalid Air Base
Houthis attack Saudi air base; pipeline shutdown removes 4% global oil supply; WTI jumps to $102.94.
Read storyEU NatGas Hits Highest Since 2022 As Low Storage Sets Stage For Winter Cold-Snap Price Shock
EU natural gas futures hit highest since Dec 2022 at 83.67 €/MWh as winter storage sits 17% below trend.
Read storySaudi pipeline outage threatens loss of 4% of global oil supply
Saudi pipeline outage threatens loss of 4% of global oil supply.
Read storyThis Time Is Different? Earnings & Price Break 90-Year Trends
S&P 500 dips 0.68% as narrow AI-led rally masks deteriorating breadth; earnings break 90-year trend amid valuation
Read story"Riyadh In Difficult Position": Saudis Shutter Critical East-West Pipeline After Drone Attacks
Saudi Arabia shuts 7M b/d East-West pipeline after drone attacks; critical bypass route to Hormuz disabled.
Read storyRate-Hike Odds Spike As Fuel Costs Push US Producer Prices Higher
US PPI surges 0.4% MoM in August on diesel spike; rate-hike odds jump to 75%.
Read storyinvestingLive Americas FX news wrap 9 Sept: Oil is a problem as war likely to continue
Brent crude breaks $100/barrel on geopolitical tensions; equity indices fall amid rising yields and oil-driven
Read storyThe bond market continues to tighten the screws, and everything else is feeling it
10-year Treasury yields hit 4.80%, highest since 2023, pressuring equities and commodities as bond vigilantes tighten
Read storyJapan's foreign reserves drop by a record $80 billion in August following yen intervention
Japan's foreign reserves drop record $80B in August due to yen-support interventions.
Read storyIran warns of tougher response: Oil, gold and stocks to watch over the holiday weekend
Iran threatens stronger response to U.S. strikes; Strait of Hormuz oil supplies and shipping at risk over holiday
Read storyKey Events This Week: Jobs, JOLTS, Beige Book And ISM
Fed Chair Warsh signals September rate hike likely; employment report Friday is key test as yields hit multi-year highs.
Read storyAmericans' Confidence Dips In August As Chicago PMI Plunges Into Contraction
Chicago PMI crashes to 47.1 in August, largest drop since COVID; consumer sentiment falls as economic outlook darkens.
Read storyFed Chairman Warsh expresses concern about inflation advocates for 'quieter' central bank: Watch live
Fed Chair Warsh signals inflation concerns unresolved, hints at potential rate hikes; avoids forward guidance.
Read storyWatch Live: Fed Chair Warsh Tilts Hawkish, Questions AI Productivity Timing, Prefers "Quieter" Fed
Fed Chair Warsh tilts hawkish on inflation, rejects forward guidance, sets high bar for rate cuts.
Read storyPayPal Crashes After Advent, Stripe Abandon $50 Billion Takeover Bid
PayPal crashes 16% after Advent/Stripe consortium walks away from $50B takeover bid.
Read storyHow have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events?
RBA repriced hawkish after hotter Australia CPI; BoC dovish on Canada tariffs; Fed Chair Warsh speech at Jackson Hole
Read storyTokyo inflation data strengthens case for September BOJ hike
Tokyo core inflation hits 2.0% in August, reinforcing case for BOJ rate hike in September.
Read storyKuwait, Qatar Ramp Up Hormuz Oil Flows As Oman-Iran Talks Ease Supply Fears
Brent crude falls 6.3% this week to $86 as Kuwait, Qatar restore Hormuz exports amid Iran-Oman diplomatic talks.
Read storyU.S. inflation rises again and stays well above the Fed’s target. A rate hike could be in play.
U.S. inflation rises in July, stays above Fed target; rate hike possibility emerges.
Read storyOil Extends Decline As Rubio Rules Out New Strikes, Iran-Oman Transit Deal Nears Finalization
Oil declines as Rubio rules out new Iran strikes and Iran-Oman finalize Strait of Hormuz transit deal.
Read storyUS inflation remains sticky in July; 2nd-quarter GDP unrevised at 1.5%
US inflation stays elevated in July; Q2 GDP confirmed at 1.5% growth.
Read storyFed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Ticks Up In July As Americans Suddenly Start Saving More
July PCE prints hotter than expected at +0.2% MoM headline; core steady at +3.3% YoY as wage growth slows.
Read storyUS GDP 2nd estimate for Q2 1.5% vs 1.5% preliminary.
Q2 GDP revised down to 1.5%, inflation revised higher across all measures; consumer spending offsets weak government
Read storyPreview, today: Fed's favoured inflation gauge lands two days before Warsh's Jackson Hole speech
July PCE inflation data due today; consensus expects modest easing with core at 3.2-3.3%, setting stage for Warsh's
Read storyJapan's services inflation accelerates to 3.6pct in July, beating forecasts
Japan's services inflation beats forecasts at 3.6% in July, bolstering case for BOJ rate hike as soon as September.
Read storyGoldman Sounds Alarm: Europe May Need €100 NatGas Shock To Refill Winter Storage
Goldman warns EU nat-gas may need to exceed €100/MWh in 2026 if Persian Gulf LNG exports remain constrained; TTF surges
Read storyKey Events This Week: Jackson Hole. Nvidia Earnings And Core PCE
Jackson Hole, Nvidia earnings, and core PCE inflation data dominate week ahead; Treasury yields ease on buyback plans
Read story"We Don't Need Canada": Loonie Limps Lower As Trump Unleashes (More) Tariffs
Trump imposes 50% tariffs on Canadian goods; automotive and steel face same rate Jan 1, 2027; loonie weakens.
Read storyThe Teaser Period: Why The AI Boom Is Hitting A Reset Wall
AI compute contracts structured as teasers hide $2.3T reset wall hitting 2027–2028, mirroring 2008 mortgage crisis
Read storyUS-Canada trade talks collapse as 50% tariffs take effect, Carney vows retaliation
US-Canada trade talks collapse; 50% tariffs on $20bn Canadian goods take effect with dollar-for-dollar retaliation set
Read storyDiesel Crack Spread Madness Deepens As Jefferies Finds No Easy Exit From Russia's Refining Crisis
US diesel crack spread hits record $102/bbl as Ukraine drone strikes cripple Russian refining, tightening global fuel
Read storyBessent's bond gambit aimed at calming markets is instead stirring inflation worries
Treasury's doubled debt buyback sparks inflation concerns; 10-year breakeven rate hits 2-month high at 2.34%.
Read storyWhy markets care more about the signal than the size of the Treasury buyback
Treasury buyback signals easing financial conditions; market focus shifts to Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech for
Read storyWalmart Crashes Most Since 2022 After Huge Comp Store Sales Miss
Walmart shares crash 9%, biggest drop since 2022, after Q2 comp sales miss at 2.6% and weak FY27 guidance.
Read story"Doom Loop" Engaged: US Debt Hits $40 Trillion As Treasury Enters The Endgame
US public debt surpasses $40 trillion; Treasury doubles buyback ops on 10-30Y bonds as yields surge and interest costs
Read storyA radical Bessent, panicking with big Treasury bond buyback move, craters the dollar
Treasury doubles bond buyback to $4B per operation through Nov 4, yields fall 10bps as Bessent signals willingness to
Read story"Strain Is Spreading": FT Exposes Private Credit Distress At Decade Highs
Private credit defaults hit decade highs as BDC non-accrual rates surge to 2.8%, with largest funds taking writedowns.
Read storyU.S. 30-year yield hits highest since 2007 as global bond Rout deepens
U.S. 30-year Treasury yield reaches highest level since 2007 amid global bond selloff.
Read storyAs Japanese Bond Yields Soar, Unrealized Losses At Life Insurers Hit $200 Billion
Japanese life insurers face $194B unrealized losses as 10Y JGB yields hit 30-year highs near 3%.
Read story"Absolutely Unprecedented": Diesel Crack Spread Hits Record As Refined-Products Crisis Arrives
Diesel crack spread hits record $102/bbl as depleted inventories and Strait of Hormuz tensions create refined-products
Read storyU.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield Rises to Highest Since 2007
U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hits highest since 2007; 10-year also rises sharply.
Read storyWSJ Catches Up, Discovers AI's Off-Balance Sheet Liabilities Are $3 Trillion And Growing $1.2 Trillion Per Quarter
WSJ reports $3T in off-balance-sheet AI commitments across big tech, growing $1.2T quarterly via SPVs and uncommenced
Read storyJapan’s 10-year government bond yield rises to three-decade peak
Japan's 10-year JGB yield hits three-decade high, signaling shift in BoJ policy stance.
Read storyThe bitcoin futures market looks like a crowded club with a tiny exit – and it could cause pain
Bitcoin futures open interest at $48B outpaces $25B daily volume, creating liquidity mismatch risk.
Read storyJapan Q2 GDP growth undershoots forecasts, complicating BOJ's hike timeline
Japan Q2 GDP misses sharply at +1.1% annualized vs. 2.0% forecast, complicating BOJ hike timeline.
Read storyForget CDOs, Meet CCOs: This Isn't A Tech Cycle... It's 2008 With Silicon
AI capex boom structured like 2008 housing crisis via GPU-collateralized debt; growth deceleration, not collapse, could
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