investingLive Americas market news wrap: Big beat for non-farm payrolls

US non-farm payrolls beat at +162K vs +56K expected; Canada missed at -41.7K; dollar rallied then faded on Fed

· Source: investinglive.com

Summary

US August payrolls delivered a significant 162K beat (vs. +56K expected), reversing divergence with Canada's -41.7K miss. The dollar initially spiked ~35 pips post-NFP but retraced sharply as traders reassessed Fed policy—implied hike odds jumped from 49% to 58%, lifting short-dated yields 4 bps despite Fed speakers signaling jobs data wouldn't drive near-term decisions. USD/JPY saw heavy intervention with a 200+ pip swing; USD/CAD peaked at 1.3871 before giving back 35 pips as broad dollar momentum fizzled.

investingLive Americas market news wrap: Big beat for non-farm payrollsNewsAdam Button3 hours agoTagsSession wrapWrap North AmericaAdd as a preferredsource on GoogleHighlights of the trading session on September 4, 2026Trump: Witkoff and Kushner will bring proposal to Putin to end the warCleveland Fed President Beth Hammack is sounding decidedly hawkish on monetary policyTrump tells Fed: Lower the rate or I'll stop trading with countries with which we have a deficitCanada Employment change for August -41,7K vs 15.0K estimateUS August non-farm payrolls +162K vs +56K expectedMarkets:WTI crude oil down $0.01 to $91.

30US 10-year yields down 1.8 bps to 4.78%Gold down $39 to $4433AUD leads, JPY lags on the dayS&P 500 down 0.

4%The jobs reports from the USA and Canada were the highlights and they diverged with a big win for the US and a miss for Canada, reversing what happened a month ago. The dollar initially jumped on non-farm payrolls, rising around 35 pips across the board but the moves seconds after the data were the extremes for the day.There were the usual caveats in the jobs report as education and hospitality added much of the gains but overall it was still a strong report.

The big retracement in the dollar was more about Fed thinking, with Waller yesterday indicating that the jobs report wouldn't be a big factor in his thinking. Still, the implied odds of a hike moved to 58% from 49% and short-dated yields rose 4 bps. The yen remained in focus and there were fresh signs of meddling as the pair fell more than 200 pips from the post-NFP jump.

After reaching 155.40 the pair climbed steadily back to 156.26 to finish the day up around 50 pips.

It's been a volatile start to the month for the pair so far.USD/CAD was a big mover on the divergent jobs reports. The pair rose to 1.

3871 at the peak before giving back 35 pips as the dollar broadly eroded. The Bank of Canada will get another jobs report to look at before its next meeting.After the jobs report, news flow focused on Iran.

Various reprots talked about ballistic missile launches but Trump himself later said there was no shooting, so that left everyone watching confused. Oil had fallen to $89.00 but turned around to finish at $91.

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