investingLive Americas market news wrap: Rising oil overshadows the Fed decisionNewsAdam Button15/09/2026 | 20:24 GMT, published 15/09/2026 at 08:24 PMTagsSession wrapWrap North AmericaAdd as a preferredsource on GoogleSummaryWhat was moving markets on September 15, 2026wrapExplosions heard in Saudi ArabiaCanadians continued to spend through August - RBC spending tracker showsUS 20-year bond auction tails by 2 bpsBessent: For a nominal amount, the US Treasury was able to signal support for Japanese policiesSenate leader Thune: I am open to considering an export ban on dieselOil jumps after Libya says may declare force majure as protests suspend productionCarney: Canada to allow immediate expensing for most new capital investmentCanada wholesale trade for the month of July 0.3% versus -0.5% estimateSeptember US Empire Fed manufacturing +7.
6 vs +15.0 expectedUS ADP weekly employment estimate rises to 16,250 vs 12,000 expectedMarkets:WTI crude oil up $4.56 to $105.
99Gold down $2 to $4295US 10-year yields up 4.7 bps to 5.01%S&P 500 down 0.
4%USD leads, JPY lagsBitcoin down 3.9%Oil rose for the 11th day in the past 12 and unsurprisingly, it pushed up yields and weighed on risk assets. The market has now moved to price in a 92% chance of a hike tomorrow from the Federal Reserve and has fully priced in another cut before year end.
The question now for Warsh is how hawkish will he sounds. Pushing up the front end may help him establish credibility on the long end but he also likes strategic ambiguity and that could ultimately read as dovish. In any case, he will find himself in a tricky position on Wednesday afternoon in Washington.
In terms of oil, it was sliding early in New York trading but then Libya announced field closures due to protests. That was quickly followed by Saudi Arabia suspending loadings at its lone Red Sea port in light of the pipeline attacks. There are some rumors in the market that Saudis told customers not to expect oil until November.
In terms of moves towards peace, there was nothing credible but oil did come slightly off the highs in the afternoon but late reports of explosions in Saudi Arabia and airport closures lifted prices again.The dollar was generally bid and Bessent's comments on the yen suggest limited ammunition to intervene further. The Fed is obviously a big consideration in the dollar trade as well.
Tomorrow's decision hits at a vulnerable time for AI with calls for a slowdown. At the same time, we've seen some remarkable resilience in stock markets this year even as we went from pricing in Fed cuts to 97 bps of hikes in the year ahead. That's the state of play going into the big decision.
Late in the day the crypto-regulating CLARITY Act failed in the Senate and that led to a slump in bitcoin and altcoins.ADVERTISEMENT - CONTINUE READING BELOWAdvertisementAdvertisementMust ReadAdam Button on Gold, Market Noise and Risk | What Traders Need to Know Before Q4Why risk management in trading matters if you want to stay in the gameUS stocks retreat after record closesChevron and Shell shut in output at nine US Gulf facilities as storm Isaias nearsChart of the day: EUR/GBP breakdown adds to signs of euro weakness amid France's fiscal troublesWhat are the main events for today?Market playbook: Why central banks can't just print money to stop rising bond yieldsS&P 500 outlook: Short-term weakness grows, but the broader bull market holdsCrude oil short: Crude oil tests a key swing area: A place to define riskArab sources: Several severe explosions have occurred in the Strait of HormuzHeavy selling hits US stock markets on OpenAI revenue weaknessFed's Musalem says more monetary policy firming will be requiredStock Market Sector Rotation: Earnings Risks and OpportunitiesNasdaq CEO says tokenization could free tens of billions in trapped collateralConnecting the dots: How an oil price shock can ripple across global marketsEuropean stock market open: Stocks rebound as yields ease, playing catch-up to Wall Street's late recoveryAdam Button to Discuss Gold, Market Noise and Trading Risk in Webinar Next WeekAlcohol stocks: bargains, value traps and changing drinking habitsADVERTISEMENT - CONTINUE READING BELOWAdvertisementBest in 2026SponsoredGeneral Risk WarninginvestingLive is a market news and analysis platform that lists and reviews forex brokers for informational use only.
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